Week 1 Quiz
Started on |
Saturday, October 30, 2021, 11:33 AM |
State |
Finished |
Completed on |
Saturday, October 30, 2021, 12:27 PM |
Time taken |
54 mins 40 secs |
Grade |
24.75 out of 30.00 (83%) |
Question 1
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The annual demand of the year 2010 is provided
below. Find the forecasted demand for January, 2011.
|
|
Use a 3-month weighted moving average method. The weight
ratio is 3:2:1 with the heaviest weight applied to the most current data. |
||||||||||||
Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
||
Demand |
17 |
20.4 |
23.8 |
27.2 |
21.6 |
27.6 |
31.2 |
26.35 |
22.95 |
15.3 |
16 |
14 |
||
Select one:
a.
20.22
Correct
b.
23.14
c.
5.9
d.
93.04
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The correct answer is: 20.22
Question 2
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John is trying to initialize the seasonality
indexes for an exponential smoothing model with seasonality using the following
demand data. Among his many decisions, one was to set the seasonality index for
the ______ quarter to ______. Fill in the blanks correctly.
Quarter |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Demand |
40 |
250 |
190 |
110 |
Select one:
a.
2nd/2.124
Incorrect
b.
3rd/1.988
c.
1st/0.545
d.
4th/0.7457
Feedback
The correct answer is: 4th/0.7457
Question 3
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John is trying to initialize the seasonality
indexes for an exponential smoothing model with seasonality. What is the
forecast for quarter 9? The base value smoothing constant is 0.2 while the
seasonality constant is 0.3. Use the first year to initialize the model.
Quarter |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
Demand |
40 |
250 |
190 |
110 |
69 |
330 |
320 |
280 |
80.01
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Question 4
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In order to make products with a relative
degree of high complexity, which manufacturing environment will be most
effective?
Select one:
a.
Make to stock (MTS)
b.
Assemble to order (ATO)
Correct
c.
Assemble to Stock (ATS)
d.
Make to Order (MTO)
Feedback
The correct answer is: Assemble to order (ATO)
Question 5
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Describe in your own words what a
customer-driven manufacturing philosophy is.
Customer Driven
Manufacturing philosophy is a philosophy where the manufacturing activities
depend on the customer purchase and orders. The philosophy anticipates the
needs of the users of the products sold by the company and manufacturing
process will work accordingly.
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Question 6
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Which of the following environments is best
suited for Process Manufacturing?
Select one:
a.
Engineering to order (ETO)
b.
Make to stock (MTS)
Correct
c.
Engineering to Stock (ETS)
d.
Make to Order (MTO)
Feedback
The correct answer is: Make to stock (MTS)
Question 7
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Select the activities not commonly associated
with a manufacturing planning and control system (MP&CS).
(1). Establishing the annual sales goals
(2). Establishing capacity
(3). Developing detailed material flows
(4). Determining product demand
Select one:
a.
(1)
Correct
b.
(1) and (4)
c.
(2)
d.
(3) and (4)
Feedback
The correct answer is: (1)
Question 8
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Dave is use an exponential smoothing model
with trends to forecast for period 5. After gathering the data, he is trying to
make a decision regarding the constants. Currently, base value smoothing
constant is 0.3 and the trend smoothing constant is 0.2. What is the bias
difference if Dave decides to decrease the base value smoothing constant to
0.1?
The base value at the end of
period 1 is 300 while the tread is -50. |
|||
Period |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Demand |
700 |
910 |
1090 |
reducing the value of
alpha from 0.3 to 0.1, the bias increases from 517.2 to 691.2.
Comments
Comment:
Your answer is incorrect. The bias increases
by 108.75
Question 9
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Describe the Conceptual Forecasting Framework
in your own words.
A conceptual framework
follow scientific methodology to forecast about a problem selected.
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Question 10
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When generating the forecast for year 3 season
2 using an exponential smoothing model with seasonality, which seasonality
index is subject to updating?
year 2 season 2
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Question 11
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Which of the following is not a well-known response
by manufacturing to the changes in the current manufacturing environment?
Select one:
a.
Adaptive manufacturing
b.
Lean manufacturing
c.
Statistic Process Controlled (SPC)
manufacturing
Correct
d.
Just in Time
manufacturing
Feedback
The correct answer is: Statistic Process
Controlled (SPC) manufacturing
Question 12
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The table below includes the actual demands
and forecasted demand for each period. Which of the following is the correct
Mean absolute deviation (MAD) value for this data?
Period |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Actual Demands |
100 |
120 |
115 |
90 |
79 |
Forecast Demands |
90 |
110 |
130 |
135 |
90 |
Select one:
a.
21.5
b.
-10.2
c.
18.2
Correct
d.
13.9
Feedback
The correct answer is: 18.2
Question 13
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List 4 of the 7 types of lean waste.
overproduction,
inventory, motion, defects, over-processing, waiting, and transport
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Question 14
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The Ticket touring agency is coming out with a
new tour package. While this is a new product, it is expected to be received by
customers in the same manner as with the Dynasty tour package. The table below
is the last year's demand for the Dynasty tour package. Which of the following
months should the agency provide the most capacity?
Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
Actual Demands |
120 |
130 |
70 |
10 |
5 |
15 |
25 |
7 |
50 |
70 |
80 |
160 |
Select one:
a.
December
Correct
b.
October
c.
May
d.
March
Feedback
The correct answer is: December
Question 15
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With the popularity of outsourcing and global
logistics, the manufacturing environment has seen several changes. Among the
following choices, select the changes that align with this current
manufacturing environment.
(1). Shorter product life cycles
(2). MRPII is being viewed as the system of the future
(3). An increase in fabrication value added
(4). Popularity of customer driven supply chains
Select one:
a.
(1), (3) and (4)
b.
(1) and (4)
Correct
c.
(1)
d.
All of the above
Feedback
The correct answer is: (1) and (4)
Question 16
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The table below includes the actual demands
and forecasted demand for each period. Which of the following is the correct
Bias value for this data?
Period |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Actual Demands |
100 |
120 |
115 |
90 |
79 |
Forecast Demands |
90 |
110 |
130 |
135 |
90 |
-10.2
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Question 17
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Build a forecast model using a simple
exponential smoothing model with 2009 demand provided below. The exponential
smoothing constant is 0.3. What is the bias for this model when the Forecast
for January is set at 24?
Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
Demand |
17 |
20.4 |
23.8 |
27.2 |
21.6 |
27.6 |
31.2 |
26.35 |
22.95 |
15.3 |
16 |
14 |
Exponential smoothing
forecasting = Ft = Ft-1 +α(At-1-Ft-1)
In the question, Ft-1 =24 α=0.3
Forecast for month 1:-
F1 =24 +0.3(17-24)=21.9
Forecast for month 2:-
F2 =21.9 +0.3(20.4-21.9) =21.45
Forecast for month 3:-
F3 =21.45+0.3(23.8-21.45) =22.16
Forecast for month 4:-
F4 =22.16+0.3(27.2-22.16) =23.67
Forecast for month 5:-
F5 =23.67+0.3(21.6-23.67) =23.05
Forecast for month 6:-
F6 =23.05+0.3(27.6-23.05) =24.42
Forecast for month 7:-
F7 =24.42+0.3(31.2-24.42) =26.45
Forecast for month 8:-
F8 =26.45+0.3(26.35-26.45) =26.42
Forecast for month 9:-
F9=26.42+0.3(22.95-26.42) =25.38
Forecast for month
10:- F10 =25.38+0.3(15.3-25.38) =22.36
Forecast for month
11:- F11 =22.36+0.3(16-22.36) =20.45
Forecast for month
12:- F12 =20.45+0.3(17-20.45) =19.42
Comments
Comment:
-1.35
Question 18
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The manufacturing concepts of JIT and Lean
have been originally developed by companies in the _________ industry located
in ___________ and then popularized internationally.
Select one:
a.
Furniture/Swaziland
b.
Automobile/Germany
c.
Automobile/Japan
Correct
d.
Electronics/Japan
Feedback
The correct answer is: Automobile/Japan
Question 19
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Below are statements regarding either push or
pull manufacturing. Select the incorrect ones.
(1). Well implemented pull systems have high levels of customer service
(2). Pull uses short and flexible production runs compared to push
(3). Push uses short and flexible production runs compared to pull
(4). Push manufacturing typically has longer lead times
Select one:
a.
(1) and (4)
b.
(2) and (4)
c.
(2)
d.
(3)
Correct
Feedback
The correct answer is: (3)
Question 20
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Among the following relationship cases, select
the customer-supplier relationship you think is the healthiest.
Select one:
a.
The customer uses its information gathered
from closely working with an important supplier to reduce the supplier's
selling price.
b.
The customer frequently uses reverse auctions
in most of their purchase decisions.
c.
The customer involves the supplier of a core
component in its product design process.
Correct
d.
The customer is
closely integrated with the systems of a supplier who deals in commodities.
Feedback
The correct answer is: The customer involves
the supplier of a core component in its product design process.
Started on |
Sunday, October 31, 2021, 6:03
AM |
State |
Finished |
Completed on |
Sunday, October 31, 2021, 6:18
AM |
Time taken |
14 mins 54 secs |
Grade |
27.00 out of 30.00 (90%) |
Started on |
Sunday, November 7, 2021, 8:56 PM |
State |
Finished |
Completed on |
Sunday, November 7, 2021, 9:13 PM |
Time taken |
16 mins 41 secs |
Grade |
25.00 out of 30.00 (83%) |
Grade | 25.00 out of 30.00 (83%) |
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